Neopravdana nada - robna razmena Jugoslavije i uvećanog Trećeg rajha 1938-1939. godine

Abstract

Od sredine tridesetih godina XX veka Nemačka je postala najznačajniji spoljnotrgovinski partner Jugoslavije i drugih zemalja srednje i jugoistočne Evrope. Očekivanje daljeg rasta razmene sa Nemačkom, znatno uvećane nakon pripajanja Austrije, aneksije Sudeta i uspostavljanja Češko-moravskog protektorata, koje su 1938. i 1939. godine izražavali politički krugovi u Jugoslaviji, nije se ostvarilo. Zašto je ukupna razmena uvećane Nemačke sa Jugoslavijom počela da pokazuje tendenciju opadanja i kakav je bio spoljnotrgovinski trend Trećeg rajha sa ostalim zemljama Jugoistoka, tema je ovog rada.

During the 1930s Germany became the most important economic partners of Yugoslavia and other countries of Central and Southeastern Europe. Economic domination led to the spread of political influences. Yugoslavia, as an exporter of food and raw materials and an importer of finished products, did not enter the German orbit unreservedly, but over time its capacity for independent action weakened. After Germanys announced territorial expansion, the pragmatic Yugoslav political leadership hoped that this would boost economic cooperation. However, the annexation of Austria, the Sudetenland and the Czech-Moravian Protectorate to Germany (1938-1939) did not lead to an increase in trade with Yugoslavia. Just the opposite, the trade declined due to German appropriation of the economic resources of the annexed countries, the general decline of German exports, the decline in Yugoslav exports (especially corn, whose surpluses were consumed), recession, and Yugoslavias latest attempt to increase trade with Western countries, especially Britain.